Individual behavior. A generation
ago, the computational complexity associated with
predicting individual
behaviour made it an enormous task. The development of
computational power
has made behavioural prediction using stochastic dynamic
programming, genetic
algorithms and other optimization methods feasible. Furthermore, this
is an area where collaboration
between experiment and mathematical theory is particularly
fruitful because the
time scale of individual behavior is conducive to rapid collection of data.
Even so, many mathematical
challenges remain, ranging from problems of numerical analysis
of interpolation at
boundaries to overcoming the curse of dimensionality in problems with
many state variables.
Single
population dynamics. The analysis of the population dynamics of
single species has
contributed to the development
of nonlinear differential equations, the theory of chaos
(through analysis of
discrete maps), nonlinear diffusion theory (through analysis of equations
such as the Fisher equation),
and stochastic population theory. Many interesting problems
remain. These include:
i) determining the spectra of time series generated by nonlinear maps
(a topic that received
much coverage in high profile journals such as Nature, recently), ii)
connecting nonlinear
stochastic and deterministic models where closure problems similar to
the ones in the theory
of turbluence arise, and iii) the origins of diffusion models from
discrete movement models,
particularly when some fraction of the population may make
large movements.
Multi-species
population dynamics and community ecology. The interactions of two
or
more species, as in
predation, competition, mutualism and disease, present new kinds of
mathematical challenges.
These include the extension of phase plane analysis to more than
two dimensions, the
estimation of parameters for complicated nonlinear systems, the
possibilities of large
excursions (as occur in pest or disease outbreaks) and understanding
the stability properties
of large multidimensional systems of ordinary, partial, and stochastic
differential equations.
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